Donald Trump Leads Presidential Polls with 64% Chance of Victory

IconCryptoNewsTerminal Staff21 Jul, 2024

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Donald Trump Leads Presidential Polls with 64% Chance of Victory

According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, former US President Donald Trump has an estimated 64% chance of winning the upcoming presidential election. Vice President Kamala Harris, who was nominated as President Joe Biden's running mate, has a 30% chance of winning the 2024 US presidential election. Other Democratic candidates, including Michelle Obama, have a 7% chance of winning. Currently, the total amount of bets on the US presidential election on Polymarket stands at $311 million, making it one of the most heavily bet-on elections in history. The high level of interest in the election is likely due to the fact that the outcome will have a significant impact on the future of the United States. If Trump wins, he will likely continue his policies of deregulation, tax cuts, and increased military spending. He will also likely continue to challenge the legitimacy of the 2020 election and undermine democratic institutions. If Harris wins, she will likely pursue policies that are more progressive than Trump's. She will likely focus on issues such as climate change, healthcare, and education. She will also likely work to restore trust in democratic institutions and promote unity. The outcome of the 2024 US presidential election is still uncertain. However, the polls suggest that Trump is the current frontrunner.